Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.839756 2.126249 2.441215 2.812985 3.239647 3.713837 4.280715
2025-03-30 1.483556 1.868086 2.326589 2.912883 3.642056 4.518534 5.651699
2025-04-06 1.196399 1.624480 2.172582 2.924233 3.926780 5.216526 7.000682
2025-04-13 0.931959 1.355001 1.932694 2.776539 3.975058 5.613544 8.021205
2025-04-20 0.806262 1.246524 1.883458 2.867825 4.346416 6.479828 9.786912
2025-04-27 0.721518 1.179763 1.878451 3.014977 4.810781 7.531069 11.955702
2025-05-04 0.635641 1.094859 1.829967 3.083733 5.159521 8.447863 14.037987
2025-05-11 0.558649 1.010207 1.766641 3.114949 5.446224 9.295599 16.112201
2025-05-18 0.475995 0.901536 1.645827 3.029155 5.521168 9.800116 17.674580
2025-05-25 0.398836 0.789537 1.501582 2.878692 5.458010 10.053983 18.825067
2025-06-01 0.354075 0.730399 1.442989 2.873021 5.649864 10.770168 20.875476
2025-06-08 0.309371 0.664068 1.360929 2.810007 5.723022 11.273606 22.585675
2025-06-15 0.293033 0.653938 1.388992 2.971397 6.261488 12.733562 26.340948
2025-06-22 0.271741 0.630065 1.386123 3.070011 6.688506 14.031619 29.946591
2025-06-29 0.244899 0.589690 1.343007 3.077893 6.928817 14.985895 32.975868
2025-07-06 0.208743 0.522134 1.231292 2.920326 6.793346 15.148099 34.366081
2025-07-13 0.195392 0.506067 1.231977 3.014774 7.225630 16.565055 38.636308
2025-07-20 0.187044 0.500832 1.256770 3.168351 7.812253 18.387333 44.027005
2025-07-27 0.174371 0.482572 1.247886 3.239954 8.215854 19.845590 48.763006
2025-08-03 0.160825 0.459772 1.224518 3.272371 8.528816 21.130695 53.247252
2025-08-10 0.142702 0.421563 1.156657 3.182162 8.525601 21.667442 55.998566
2025-08-17 0.123795 0.377869 1.067937 3.024187 8.327198 21.704084 57.515498
2025-08-24 0.113480 0.357123 1.037547 3.018171 8.524704 22.745299 61.689641